NYC Mayor

The finest indicator of who'll win 2025 New York mayoral election

Jul 7 • 

The Super Model

1

June 2025

NYC Democratic Mayoral Nominee

The finest indicator of who'll win the party's ranked-choice primary in 2025

Jun 11 • 

The Super Model

1

NBA Championship

The finest indicator of who'll win the 2025 NBA Finals

Jun 4 • 

The Super Model

1

April 2025

Recession Tracker

The finest indicator of U.S. GDP shrinkage & growth

Apr 11

3

Next Canadian Prime Minister

The finest indicator of who'll win the 2025 Canadian Federal Election

Apr 10

1

March 2025

RIP 538

Let's see if we can't resurrect a few bits of it

Mar 6 • 

The Super Model

2

1

February 2025

Which Market Best Predicted the Big Game

A story in eight charts

Feb 21 • 

The Super Model

4

Big Game Post-Mortem Preview Poll

Which market had the sharpest pricing going into and during the NFL championship?

Feb 13 • 

The Super Model

January 2025

The Big Game

The finest indicator of who'll win that matchup at the Superdome on February 9

Jan 18 • 

The Super Model

3

December 2024

Speaker of the House

The finest indicator of who'll be the 1st elected Speaker of the 119th Congress

Dec 19, 2024 • 

The Super Model

2

Interview: Flip Pidot from The Super Model

On the past, present, and future of prediction markets

Published on Authentic Intel • Dec 17, 2024

November 2024

Trump Chaos Index

Quantifying the policy uncertainty of Trump's 2nd term

Nov 27, 2024 • 

Flip Pidot

6

2