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Interview with Harry Crane
2024's top presidential handicapper spills his secrets
Dec 4
•
The Super Model
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Flip Pidot
, and
Harry Crane
2
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31:07
November 2024
Trump Chaos Index
Quantifying the policy uncertainty of Trump's 2nd term
Nov 27
•
Flip Pidot
5
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The Super Model
Trump Chaos Index
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The Wages of Election Modeling: Harry Crane vs. Super Model
Putting forecasters to the test by simulating the gains (or losses) you'd make trading their recommendations on Polymarket every day
Nov 22
•
Flip Pidot
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The Super Model
The Wages of Election Modeling: Harry Crane vs. Super Model
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The Wages of Election Modeling: Manifold vs. Metaculus
Putting forecasters to the test by simulating the gains (or losses) you'd make trading their recommendations on Polymarket every day
Nov 19
•
Flip Pidot
3
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The Wages of Election Modeling: Manifold vs. Metaculus
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The Wages of Election Modeling: 538 vs. DDHQ
Putting forecasters to the test by simulating the gains (or losses) you'd make trading their recommendations on Polymarket every day
Nov 18
•
Flip Pidot
1
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The Wages of Election Modeling: 538 vs. DDHQ
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The Wages of Election Modeling: Silver vs. the 13 Keys
Putting forecasters to the test by simulating the gains (or losses) you'd make trading their recommendations on Polymarket every day
Nov 18
•
Flip Pidot
4
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The Wages of Election Modeling: Silver vs. the 13 Keys
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1
U.S. Cabinet
The finest (early) indicators of which of Trump's picks will be confirmed (or slipped in via recess appointments)
Nov 16
•
The Super Model
1
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U.S. Cabinet
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Senate Majority Leader
The finest indicator of who'll lead the upper chamber of the 119th Congress
Nov 11
1
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Senate Majority Leader
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House of Pain
Which markets did least poorly in the hardest call of the cycle?
Nov 10
•
The Super Model
1
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House of Pain
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What's Next?
The Super Model's trial run was pretty successful. Now the real fun begins.
Nov 6
•
The Super Model
7
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What's Next?
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Election Day SuperVision
Augmenting prediction market intel by amplifying the signal of the sharpest traders
Nov 5
•
The Super Model
6
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Election Day SuperVision
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So What's it Going To Be?
Harry Crane's final 2024 election prediction, and how he came up with it
Nov 5
•
Harry Crane
12
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So What's it Going To Be?
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